The Soapbox

hoodeyo

Joined: 09/29/2013 Posts: 6424
Likes: 3387


My guess is turnout is going to be big from both sides.


That TargetEarly site shows race + education: Hispanic turnout is up .5%, but college educated white is up 2% and non-college white is down 3%. If the college white trend held that's a plus for Biden, perhaps Hispanic turnout jumps on election day.

One thing I've not seen addressed is Rs or Is that objected to Trump and were won over, or are convinced Biden will usher in a militant leftist agenda, or something like that. Hard mind frame to put yourself into, but wasnt JM or Hooda an example of that? The last four years have been so strange and divided and so much happened, people who were not as involved in following politics went to becoming obsessive about it, it's become central as a kind of entertainment. That came to mind in the context of thinking about higher turnout from supporters of both candidates, people that could possibly like Trump *more* in 2020 than 2016. Maybe that's just not a category at all.

Agree with the notion high overall turnout could create uncertainty, and it does make sense to put resources into TX for local races and future D prospects with as much money as Biden and Bloomberg have. Biden winning there seems like a reach, but I don't know sh*t and am open to surprises.

(In response to this post by Shenhoo)

Posted: 10/27/2020 at 2:27PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Bloomberg is going into Texas and Ohio with an ad blitz -- wahoo138 10/27/2020 08:10AM
  You're assuming they are without any evidence. -- Faz d. Hoo 10/27/2020 1:02PM
  Don't bet against Bloomberg. There is -- Shenhoo 10/27/2020 08:54AM
  Haha, I was going to say the opposite -- Faz d. Hoo 10/27/2020 09:14AM
  Sometimes nice guys do finish first ** -- Tuckahokie 10/27/2020 09:31AM
  Should have been hearing more, IMHO. May be too little too late -- Capital City Hoo 10/27/2020 09:00AM
  Both Economist and 538 put Ohio at 58% odds for Trump. -- hoolstoptheheels 10/27/2020 08:54AM
  I don’t trust Ohio or Florida ** -- hooshouse 10/27/2020 09:05AM
  Because there is no rational explanation for that feeling -- Capital City Hoo 10/27/2020 09:02AM
  History. ** -- Hoobedoobedoo 10/27/2020 09:01AM
  High voter turnout. But it will be close. ** -- WahooRQ 10/27/2020 09:00AM
  I don’t know a ton about OH this year. -- WahooMatt05 10/27/2020 08:52AM
  Razor thin margin ** -- wahoo138 10/27/2020 08:44AM
  Biden +3 in a new poll this am fwiw ** -- WaxHoo 10/27/2020 08:38AM
  Indicates a very competitive state -- wahoo138 10/27/2020 08:27AM
  Cell or land line? ** -- Shenhoo 10/27/2020 08:16AM
  Land line.. I never pick them up ** -- Plano Hoo 10/27/2020 08:17AM
  HIDDEN BIDEN VOTE! ** -- wahoo138 10/27/2020 08:28AM
  Old technology, probably trump. ** -- 81_Hokie 10/27/2020 08:36AM

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