The Soapbox

psychobilly

Joined: 09/03/2002 Posts: 6367
Likes: 6720


A 5 year average is a little bit of a disingenuous starting point.


You at least go weighted average. Or take the 5 years of increase and extrapolate the expected 2020 deaths. Doesn't move the needle a lot (maybe like 200k by using the 5 year average increase)...but appears to be a more frank number.

I'd actually be interested in this calc over a longer time horizon (not to disprove covid deaths) but to see the ebbs and flows of low death increase years and high death increase years and look at the causes.

(In response to this post by BocaHoo91)

Posted: 01/10/2022 at 6:30PM



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  Good point ** -- ryno hoo 01/10/2022 6:04PM
  You're late with the fishhook again. -- Shenhoo 01/10/2022 5:50PM
  Obviously he does not. ** -- 81_Hokie 01/10/2022 6:08PM
  Nope. I already debunked this below. -- 00 Hoo 01/10/2022 5:47PM
  More lies. -- 00 Hoo 01/10/2022 7:25PM
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