Because an incumbent prez is assumed to be the party's candidate. So in a
probability calculation, which comes down to probability of winning nomination times the probability of beating each of the possible Dem nominees (weighted), he has a huge advantage.
Since he would be almost a 100% probability to be a nominee (unless impeached which would probably not be considered in this calculation), and no dem at this time could even be 25% chance of being the nominee, the math works in his favor in such a poll.
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In response to this post by Hoos Operator)
Posted: 04/11/2018 at 5:30PM