I did a lot of modeling in my career (not on a runway)

And I always started by stating assumptions. There were always unknowns and knowns at play.

I have no trouble with the SWAG of the Whitehouse projections, as much as I dislike the people in the Whitehouse. I think it's purpose was simply to sound a wakeup call to the country. When the house is on fire and you're ringing a bell, don't worry that you may be ringing it too loud or for a minute or two too long!

The wakeup came late but I hope it will be effective enough. If we succeed in holding the death toll to 50 or 75 K, let's be thankful and move on.

(In response to this post by graycalhoo)

Posted: 04/03/2020 at 1:21PM

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Wash Post Article on the WH estimate of possible deaths. -- graycalhoo 04/03/2020 10:25AM

The higher projections seem always to come from the august ( if unknown) -- Hoogle.com 04/03/2020 2:33PM

I did a lot of modeling in my career (not on a runway) -- NJHoo 04/03/2020 1:21PM

I'll bet the estimate was rectally extracted based on eyeballing others ** -- Faz d. Hoo 04/03/2020 11:28AM

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