I was just listening to something the other day that said 538 was at 70. In
retrospect I'm not sure if that was an exact number or a rounding off to 70%. The context was that 2016 was the first time that they posted an odds of winning rather than polling results and apparently that confused people. There is some evidence that a number of people saw the 70% odds as 70% of the electorate choosing her and stayed home, thinking the election was in the bag.
[Post edited by 81_Hokie at 10/26/2020 09:13AM]
|
(
In response to this post by wahoo138)
Posted: 10/26/2020 at 09:10AM