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81_Hokie

Joined: 03/16/2005 Posts: 16419
Likes: 28695


I was just listening to something the other day that said 538 was at 70. In


retrospect I'm not sure if that was an exact number or a rounding off to 70%. The context was that 2016 was the first time that they posted an odds of winning rather than polling results and apparently that confused people. There is some evidence that a number of people saw the 70% odds as 70% of the electorate choosing her and stayed home, thinking the election was in the bag.







[Post edited by 81_Hokie at 10/26/2020 09:13AM]

(In response to this post by wahoo138)

Posted: 10/26/2020 at 09:10AM



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Current Thread:
  I think Rudy has sealed the deal for Joe ** -- DTsBicep 10/26/2020 09:07AM
  The Biden campaign’s internal numbers are not as rosy -- EspressHoo 10/26/2020 08:57AM
  That poll got my attention -- Quaker 10/26/2020 09:10AM
  Have you seen the internals? -- tchoo 10/26/2020 09:02AM
  Agreed ** -- tchoo 10/26/2020 09:38AM
  They might also -- NJHoo 10/26/2020 2:02PM
  Undecideds usually break for the challengers anyway -- wahoo138 10/26/2020 08:52AM

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