FWIW, 538 forecasts this as less than 1 in 100 chance of happening.** -- Seattle .Hoo 10/28/2020 1:12PMInsert a Link
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With RCP, applying 2016's poll shift to current state polling, I got Biden -- JohnHoo2 10/28/2020 11:35AM FWIW, 538 forecasts this as less than 1 in 100 chance of happening.** -- Seattle .Hoo 10/28/2020 1:12PM Honestly, I think both campaigns are "using" various polls for turn out -- Hoobedoobedoo 10/28/2020 12:45PM Cute but like stated below, applying that model equals 270 for Biden -- SCHOO 10/28/2020 12:00PM Either Trump pulls another straight flush, or America straight flushes. ** -- WahooRQ 10/28/2020 12:01PM America will likely need to flush more than once to get rid of this turd -- TomGlansAski 10/28/2020 12:19PM Why Trump went to Nebraska for the one. Course left his folks in the cold ** -- WarmHoo 10/28/2020 11:54AM Nebraska is another place that is hurting due to Trump ag -- Shenhoo 10/28/2020 11:57AM Was scratching my head over Trump holding a superspreader event there -- wahoo138 10/28/2020 12:04PM SCHOO's post above, at noon, explains precisely why. ** -- southdenverhoo 10/28/2020 1:08PM It's just across the Missouri River from Iowa too. ** -- Bosco 10/28/2020 12:21PM Good point. ** -- Shenhoo 10/28/2020 12:23PM Yes. There cannot be any other rational reason. ** -- Shenhoo 10/28/2020 12:05PM Oof ** -- wahoo138 10/28/2020 11:50AM Where do you have NE2?** -- WaxHoo 10/28/2020 11:49AM It looks like Republicans are unleashing outlier polls in PA and FL. -- WahooRQ 10/28/2020 11:46AM Yeah. Insider Advantage, Susquehanna, and Razzie are -- Shenhoo 10/28/2020 11:51AM There is method to the madness, if they loose turnout .. they'll be swamped -- Quaker 10/28/2020 12:05PM That is correct. Keep hope alive with Fake polls. -- Shenhoo 10/28/2020 12:08PM I also think if they lose they'll point to those polls as evidence that the -- CT Wahoo 10/28/2020 12:22PM Trafalgar doesnt appreciate your oversight ** -- SCHOO 10/28/2020 12:04PM If it goes to the house - it's one vote per state -I think in that scenario -- graycalhoo 10/28/2020 11:45AM Yes, currently 26. ** -- Hoobedoobedoo 10/28/2020 12:01PM Depending on statehouse make up after this election ** -- WaxHoo 10/28/2020 11:48AM But is it really after, or would they vote Lame Duck? ** -- Shenhoo 10/28/2020 11:58AM After. It’s why Nancy ‘s workin hard to flip 4 statehouses ** -- WaxHoo 10/28/2020 12:01PM I could see Spanberger losing. The negative ads are ridiculous, but -- graycalhoo 10/28/2020 12:07PM Very good point. ** -- graycalhoo 10/28/2020 11:49AM Deleted** -- Molina 10/28/2020 11:40AM Fun, fun, fun! In case any of us thought 2020 couldn't become more of a -- Hoodafan 10/28/2020 11:38AM Election decided by ACB? ** -- Tuckahokie 10/28/2020 11:40AM Not in that scenario ** -- WaxHoo 10/28/2020 11:50AM