Buy the need for the regional smoothing of institutions like the senate and the EC in our republic. And these things will never go away IMO, so the debate will always be there.

I do believe in the EC, and I agree with much of what EAPo and you are saying, but differ on my expectation of the result. I think odds of a convincing Biden win in the EC and popular vote are increasing in the final days of the campaign.

Anecdotal info has very limited predictive value. Of course, polls and algorithms are not crystal balls. I just think a lot of incorrect conclusions are drawn from Trump’s surprise in 2016, such as the mythical undetectable Trump voter base. I see important differences between polls and odds now vs 2016 - mainly Joe’s high popularity ratings compared with Hill’s (many more voters respond that they like Joe than they did Hillary), and the way everything is trending going into Election Day. The exact opposite of how they were trending at this point in 2016, which I think means the last absolute poll numbers we saw overstated Hill’s odds, because several days of trend continued into Election Day (against Hill).

The opposite of that is looking likely this year. But I would not bet a wooden nickel on my hypothesis here.