The Soapbox

Shenhoo

Joined: 01/04/2001 Posts: 35228
Likes: 51398

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I took a look back. In 2016, the final RCP average had


Clinton up by 1 and she lost by 1.

Among the better final pollsters were CBS (Tied), Q Poll (Clinton +1), and NYT/Siena (Trump +4).

There was actually a pretty big dearth of decent Florida polls in the last week. There were a few more obscure ones including Gravis, Remington Research, and Tralfager (Trump +4).

I suppose that some would dare say that Tralfater "got it right" even though he missed wide right by more than CBS or Q Poll did.

There were no pollsters showing Clinton up in Florida by the amounts shown in the Marist Polls and Monmouth polls unless ones goes to the very late Sept/very early October Q Poll 5 weeks prior.

But I ain't gonna beg you to take at whack at the football again. You do you, and I'll stick to my Trump by 5 million 1 to 5 million forecast (although it might be 6 million 1 to 6 million this go 'round).
[Post edited by Shenhoo at 10/29/2020 3:35PM]

(In response to this post by wahoo138)

Posted: 10/29/2020 at 3:33PM


+1

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