46% equaled 304 electoral votes in ‘16. 45% could certainly = enough for
A win. Nobody has a crystal ball on the economy. Or other headwinds we may not even be thinking about. I find it odd that HO places such stock in odds this far out, but there’s no denying multiple opinion polls showing trump with the current edge in all the states which matter.
I’m not that interested in debunking odds now about what’ll happen in a year. Polls are dicey, but are a cautionary tale. I just don’t want, and I don’t expect, any of the overconfidence that imo helped cost Hillary in ‘16 and make Trumpistan a reality.
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In response to this post by Seattle .Hoo)
Posted: 12/17/2023 at 11:57AM