The Soapbox

BocaHoo91

Joined: 06/03/2005 Posts: 31096
Likes: 52543


How about this? This actually is 2016 vs. 2012. And while


Trump's OVERALL margin among white voters was roughly the same as Romney's, when you break it down by education level, there was a fairly big swing. The margin among white college educated voters was 10 points lower for Trump than for Romney, and the margin among white non-College educated voters was 14 points higher for Trump than for Romney. I don't think it's a stretch to say that non-college educated voters are FAR more likely to be middle class.

I get your aversion to the Trump narrative, but I think you're far too quick to dismiss what appears to me to be a fairly pronounced shift among white middle class voters in 2016. I think by looking just a race, you're missing the shift that took place underneath the aggregate margins. Traditional white republican voters -- like myself -- shifted to Hillary (which you see in the Trump's 10 point lower margin among white college educated voters), and traditional white democrat voters -- blue collar in the midwest -- shifted to Trump (which you can see in Trump's 14 point higher margin among white non-college educated voters)


(In response to this post by WahooRQ)

Posted: 06/22/2018 at 2:13PM



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