The Soapbox

BocaHoo91

Joined: 06/03/2005 Posts: 31136
Likes: 52633


The alcoholic analogy is not a great one. If you stop drinking, the


alcoholic down the street doesn't hurt you if he continues to drink. That's not the case with greenhouse gas emissions.

A recent climate change report which really ratcheted up the alarm bells said that we need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 45% below 2010 levels by 2030 or we're basically fucked. So that's a 55% reduction from current levels, and right now, China, India, Russia and Brazil are 40% of global emissions. Good luck getting them to cut their emissions by more than 50% in the next 12 years. I think the BEST case scenario is if we get them to hold their greenhouse emissions flat to current levels. And in that scenario, in order to achieve the 45% global reduction from 2010 levels, everyone else would have to reduce emissions by 90%... in 12 years. And it's worse than that. "Everyone else" includes Indonesia, Nigeria, Bangladesh, etc. Good luck getting countries like that to cut their emissions by 50%+. So you're really left with the US, EU, Japan, Korea, Australia, NZ, Canada, to bear the brunt of the reduction. These countries make up roughly 1/3 of global greenhouse emissions. They could all cut emissions to ZERO and we'd still fall short of the reduction target needed to avoid global catastrophe.



(In response to this post by Hoo82)

Posted: 11/25/2018 at 8:50PM



+1

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Current Thread:
 
  
Twitter thread on the climate report released Friday -- WahooMatt05 11/25/2018 3:44PM
  We only have 10 years to do something!!!!!! -- MasterRusty 11/26/2018 8:21PM
  What will it take for us to ‘act’?** -- Hooddihsm 11/25/2018 10:23PM
  The UK is acting (link) -- WaxHoo 11/26/2018 08:58AM
  France & Volvo are acting (link) -- WaxHoo 11/26/2018 08:56AM
  Who should we attack? -- Faz d. Hoo 11/25/2018 8:26PM
  The French riot over everything. The world needs -- KCHoo 11/25/2018 10:12PM
  How about this (link)? -- WaxHoo 11/26/2018 07:14AM
  Stuff like that is exactly what I mean -- BocaHoo91 11/26/2018 08:36AM
  The freakenomics authors looked into climate change -- WahooMatt05 11/26/2018 9:25PM
  But, but, but ,,,. Solyndra!! -- WaxHoo 11/26/2018 08:42AM
  But we aren’t even trying -- WahooMatt05 11/26/2018 07:08AM
  I’d push a lot of efficiency measures -- WahooMatt05 11/26/2018 08:06AM
  Yea verily ** -- WaxHoo 11/26/2018 09:04AM
  I agree... and we'll obviously never get there -- BocaHoo91 11/26/2018 09:01AM
  The solution to all unsolvable problems... -- Beerman 11/25/2018 9:11PM
  Hokie forward thinking at its brightest ** -- WaxHoo 11/26/2018 07:35AM
  That's exactly where I come down. -- BocaHoo91 11/25/2018 8:58PM
  Where's Thanos when we need him? ** -- hooyorkcity 11/25/2018 9:20PM
  Act now and do what? ** -- Hokieesith 11/25/2018 7:51PM
  Problem with that is you have to get people -- BocaHoo91 11/25/2018 6:52PM
  So you would rather see a natural disaster that -- 111Balz 11/25/2018 7:37PM
  Shouldn't be a political issue ** -- wahoo138 11/25/2018 9:22PM

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