The Soapbox

EAPo

Joined: 08/14/1998 Posts: 1097
Likes: 947


Short-term trend in the days leading up to the election is most important..


.. in some circles, and depending upon which bedding metrics you're using. That favored Trump in the last election, even though the absolute numbers, odds-wise we're not in his favor. This time around, and fairly recently, it looked like we might see another trend move in Trump's favor, but that reversed, and is now pretty wishy-washy. What Trump betters would want to see here is a clear, direct trend move in Trump's favor that continues up through election day without reversal.

I am not an expert on these indicators, but a couple of pundits who i respect very much are... Including one who called the last election several weeks in advance, as well as the exact manner in which it would play out through the rust belt states. The same pundit is somewhat more ambivalent this time around. As are, apparently, the indicators..

(In response to this post by Shenhoo)

Posted: 10/28/2020 at 4:30PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Monmouth has Biden up 57 points in Alabama. ** -- Hoos Operator 10/28/2020 3:45PM
  Dow -943.24 ** -- hooshouse 10/28/2020 4:08PM
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