Doesn't the 1% control everything? ** -- Wahoo Gus 10/30/2020 5:02PMInsert a Link
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Doesn't the 1% control everything? ** -- Wahoo Gus 10/30/2020 5:02PM Serious question about this.. -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 2:30PM 538 has that. If Trump wins FL and OH, it predicts Trump will win 36%. -- JohnHoo2 10/30/2020 4:00PM It isn't that simple. They run thousands of scenarios and adjust for -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 3:04PM Yeah -- it's the Monte Carlo that I had in mind when.. -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:10PM Here....538 addresses this directly. -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 3:14PM Thanks, SH -- I'll check it out. ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:23PM To be sure, one election every 4 years with constantly changing -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:05PM Well said. Maybe I should have tried to put it so succinctly! ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:11PM I tend to agree with you. But I have -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 2:34PM Yeah, I'd guess that if... -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 2:43PM 538 has that, although it seems like it the margin would also matter. -- hoodeyo 10/30/2020 3:13PM Very cool. Been on their site 500 times. Never noticed that trick. ** -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:17PM PA. It's PA. Seriously. Biden can easily lose FL and OH. -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 2:49PM Absolutely agree about NC and GA. If Biden wins one of them it's a great -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 3:10PM I disagree on the final result, but I agree that... -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:24PM I've thought for awhile that if... -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 2:58PM Bit of tongue in cheek about the lawsuits over the -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:04PM God, please save us from this! :) ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:06PM Wanna hear the real nightmare scenario? -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:11PM I know -- I might be able to top that one, though... -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:22PM We could devise like a decathlon. With some events playing to -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:26PM I literally LOL'd at this. Well done. ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:38PM That would be worrisome. Like the election of 1876. But I don't think it's -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 3:25PM It's all about turnout now in key states. 85M in is encouraging. At this -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 2:17PM Yeah, the pollsters hopefully have learned from the past, but -- HoosWillWin 10/30/2020 2:00PM No doubt ** -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 2:05PM If you believe... ** -- hoothat 10/30/2020 1:55PM