The Soapbox

Los Angeles Hoo

Joined: 03/05/2014 Posts: 19519
Likes: 29747


To put a finer point on my comment and address yours,...


I'm not referring to the popular vote. The Dems can and will rack up huge popular majorities in CA and NY, but the rest of the country is 50/50 or leans Rep.

The popular vote is irrelevant. The Reps can take the White House, Senate and House and still lose the popular vote (see 2016). Even with all of Trump's baggage, a ludicrously biased media/social media, election malfeasance and manufactured COVID hysteria, Biden* still only won by a sliver of the vote across multiple swing states. COVID and Trump will be gone in 2024. While the other two will still be with us, they are unlikely to do the trick a second time. IMO.

Trump was a HUGE motivating factor for the Dems (although, in fairness, also for the Reps). I'm surrounded by lefties out here, and the contrast between the Obama, Clinton and Biden* elections was remarkable. People LOVED Obama -- there were yard-signs everywhere, bumper stickers, t-shirts, rallies, etc. Never has there been such a virtue-signaling opportunity as that, which the left just loves.

Clinton was still pretty popular, but I'd say the outward show of support for her was about half of Obama's. Biden*'s show of support was virtually non-existent, and Harris is regarded as somewhat of a joke, even on the left. All people could talk about out here in 2020 was how much they hated Trump (kind of like this message board). It was an obsession bordering on mental illness. I doubt they can get themselves similarly worked up for DeSantis, Noem or someone similar, so turnout for the left will be a challenge, IMO. I think you're right on your fourth caveat IF they can make that happen, but I just doubt they can make that happen.


[Post edited by Los Angeles Hoo at 01/20/2021 6:32PM]

(In response to this post by Slider)

Posted: 01/20/2021 at 6:27PM



+1

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Current Thread:
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