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WahooMatt05
Joined:
08/30/2013
Posts:
26103
Likes:
48274
What's this?
As JMHoo pointed out, if Trump takes FL, GA, NC, it’s a 50/59 race
So if there is value on the board, you jump all over it. +450 was clearly horribly priced. Well done.
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CharlestonSC
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Posted: 11/04/2020 at 08:42AM
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Current Thread:
Glad I got in on Biden at +450 last night **
--
CharlestonSC
11/04/2020 08:20AM
Are you hedging now or all in? **
--
thebombardier
11/04/2020 09:32AM
If i did something like $10k I’d probably hedge it ... for $400 Imma let it
--
CharlestonSC
11/04/2020 09:51AM
Was tempted but didn't pull; the trigger. Congratulations, maybe. **
--
southdenverhoo
11/04/2020 09:07AM
I was backing out the numbers in WI, MI, PA last nite. It looked ...
--
Blah
11/04/2020 08:38AM
I understand why you say it's bad for the country, but is it a sign that
--
CAVern
11/04/2020 08:45AM
Stacey Abrams is that compelling candidate
--
WahooMatt05
11/04/2020 08:49AM
I can't imagine a better candidate! THREE TIMES a victim!!!
--
ResistHoo
11/04/2020 09:04AM
You are assuming that the Democrats have compelling candidates from which
--
Faz d. Hoo
11/04/2020 08:49AM
Politics really need an enema in the US, somehow. it's a big country
--
CAVern
11/04/2020 08:53AM
It's not the media, it is the party machines **
--
Faz d. Hoo
11/04/2020 08:56AM
Maybe Buttigieg , but he needs to be far more polished. **
--
Blah
11/04/2020 08:52AM
I think he is plenty polished and a very likeable guy. He did not
--
81_Hokie
11/04/2020 09:01AM
That's the good side. Perhaps they could push moderates in their PRIME?
--
Blah
11/04/2020 08:48AM
Yeah nice hit **
--
wahoo138
11/04/2020 08:25AM
Nice work. Amazing. **
--
Molina
11/04/2020 08:24AM
Good move. What time of the night was that. **
--
Shenhoo
11/04/2020 08:23AM
The betting public did not understand the various waves **
--
WahooMatt05
11/04/2020 08:22AM
The betting market was predictably stupid
--
wahoo138
11/04/2020 08:27AM
Smart gamblers would have been playing the spread ...
--
Blah
11/04/2020 08:42AM
Huge middles all night **
--
wahoo138
11/04/2020 08:46AM
Biden was certainly not “likely” to win when the line was +450 IMO ... at
--
CharlestonSC
11/04/2020 08:34AM
As JMHoo pointed out, if Trump takes FL, GA, NC, it’s a 50/59 race
--
WahooMatt05
11/04/2020 08:42AM
Eh, Biden became the favorite when AZ early vote dropped imo
--
wahoo138
11/04/2020 08:38AM
538's 90% chance Biden going in was the worst line of all
--
hoodeyo
11/04/2020 08:32AM
If Biden winds up winning? Why?
--
hoolstoptheheels
11/04/2020 08:37AM
5% chance of a Trump win converts to odds of Trump +1900,
--
hoodeyo
11/04/2020 09:43AM
Taleb imo has a really good sense for probability theory.
--
hoolstoptheheels
11/04/2020 09:48AM
His perspectives are relevant and important
--
hoodeyo
11/04/2020 10:03AM
What made this uniquely stupid was that wins were capped at $250 or so
--
WahooMatt05
11/04/2020 08:31AM
Actually last night the limits were removed **
--
CharlestonSC
11/04/2020 08:42AM
Ah, interesting
--
WahooMatt05
11/04/2020 08:44AM
That's a point I've been making about that market
--
wahoo138
11/04/2020 08:35AM
That's a great bet. At the time, it was a 50/50 race. I would put down some
--
JohnHoo2
11/04/2020 08:22AM
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