The Soapbox

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On polling

I can't find the post I was going to respond to, so I'm putting it here. There's some talk about how the polling industry is dead in the water, and it's definitely frustrating to people who are invested and watching the results roll in. But if you're a political party, it has an even bigger effect. Kamala did a stop in Texas the Friday before the election because they thought it was in play. With better polling, she's probably somewhere else.

It cut against the Dems this time, but I could see it biting the Republicans in 2022 or 2024 - they assume they're going to get a bump in the voting, but it never comes without Trump on the ballot*.

*Yes, Trump not being on the ballot is an assumption and in no way a sure thing.

Posted: 11/04/2020 at 10:59AM

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Current Thread:

On polling -- Fuzzy Dunlop 11/04/2020 10:59AM

IMO: the polling error is misunderstanding massive turnout; not preference -- Quaker 11/04/2020 11:29AM

Why are the polls missing in Wisky so much more than elsewhere? -- Molina 11/04/2020 11:31AM

Turn out -- Quaker 11/04/2020 11:45AM

And in MI, but I don't think MI will wind up all that close--not as -- Shenhoo 11/04/2020 11:35AM

Wonder if the polling errors in 16 & 20 are just because it's Trump -- WahooKid 11/04/2020 11:19AM

Yes people are embarrassed to say voting for Trump ** -- 98Cav 11/04/2020 12:17PM

The votes for Trump were more of a middle finger to politicians and not -- Minutia 11/04/2020 11:12AM

Nah, I live in amongst it, and it is really about a large group of people -- ClaytonCav 11/04/2020 11:48AM

So the rednecks elected Trump.. Ok well you can say that other groups -- Minutia 11/04/2020 11:57AM

Stating that a certain group voted for him energetically and in large -- ClaytonCav 11/04/2020 12:32PM

Agree with all of that, pretty much. ** -- HAZER 11/04/2020 11:24AM

I'm curious how many Democrats voted for Trump as a vote for CHAOS. -- HokieSignGuy 11/04/2020 11:18AM

Trump was able to run to the left of Ds on military intervention, trade, -- hoodeyo 11/04/2020 11:59AM

He’s too busy getting the husbands back to work in his make believe -- Mg234 11/04/2020 11:23AM

His base loves that part of him ... its not me; but its real enough ** -- Quaker 11/04/2020 11:22AM

His base is still the "regular Republicans" but the ones that may or may -- Minutia 11/04/2020 11:29AM

They were a middle finger to America and to democracy. Trumpists have spent -- 81_Hokie 11/04/2020 11:16AM

Both parties are awful. It was against the norm not a free world. A free -- Minutia 11/04/2020 11:27AM

Two things: -- 81_Hokie 11/04/2020 11:11AM

Kudos to Nicole Wallace last night. She was focused and kind of a broken -- Molina 11/04/2020 11:04AM

Yeah, she got push back from McCaskill on that but Wallace -- Hoobedoobedoo 11/04/2020 11:37AM

Yeah Kamala was in MI on election day, rather than in FL and NC ** -- hoodeyo 11/04/2020 11:26AM

I was fooled by North Carolia like a Mack Brown early season ranking.** -- Blah 11/04/2020 11:08AM

Or a Heel following a top 10 Roy Williams team coming to JPJ ** -- TomGlansAski 11/04/2020 11:19AM

Don't have any statistics, but it seems like 2020 was the biggest -- HoosWillWin 11/04/2020 11:04AM

They have no method for factoring in "Who's lying to me?" That's the only -- Late 80s Hokie 11/04/2020 12:21PM

Something is really off in Wisconsin with polling or something else. -- Molina 11/04/2020 11:07AM

LOL ABC Biden +17. ** -- JMHoo 11/04/2020 11:12AM

Exactly. WTH? ** -- Molina 11/04/2020 11:19AM

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