The Soapbox

CharlestonSC

Joined: 09/20/2006 Posts: 7386
Likes: 6765


The polls weren't THAT wrong ... Clinton won the popular vote within the


margin of error of the final polls IIRC

polling of course is not just calling 500 random houses and seeing what they say ... it's a carefully orchestrated process where MANY underlying assumptions are made in order to predict an outcome of an election ... some of these things are easy enough to predict, but some are much harder -- demographics in particular ... so it's VERY possible for polls to be just flat out wrong ... all that needs to happen is to incorrectly guess the black vote turnout, or percentage of turnout that will be seniors, etc

Polling is not statistics when youre just trying to find the average BMI of people who live in Charlottesville ... it's trying to predict an outcome

(In response to this post by 133175Hokie)

Posted: 01/10/2018 at 6:02PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
The new Q poll is devastating to Trump. -- Shenhoo 01/10/2018 3:02PM
  Kind of like your summer of 2016 polls? -- Hokieesith 01/10/2018 3:21PM
  If it’s so easy to find collusion, where is it? -- Hokieesith 01/10/2018 9:37PM
  ^^^part of the 33 percent. ** -- hooyorkcity 01/10/2018 3:49PM

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