The Soapbox

Tafkam Hokie

Joined: 10/07/1999 Posts: 255
Likes: 152


Except that was the first time I ever recall polling numbers being THAT


wrong.

The pre-election polls were predicting Clinton in a landslide. Yes, she won the popular vote by 51% to 49%, but she was supposed to win the popular vote by 4-5%, not 1-2%, and she was supposed to win the electoral collage by 70 instead of lose by 70.

And even if Trump did collude with the Russians, all the evidence we have still says the election itself wasn't rigged. The closest thing we've got is the registration system in Durham went Fubar the day of the election. But even if you switch NC from red to blue, that doesn't change the outcome of the election.

Right after the election, the best way I could explain the results being so different from the prediction was that the media and the polls focused on the white vote, the black vote, the Hispanic vote, the women vote, the Christian vote, the LGBT vote, and every other subcategory you could think of. But the voting block that had the biggest effect on the election was the "I'm sick of this shit and want something different" voter. And they were perfectly happy to vote for the character that ran the show on The Apprentice, just because he wasn't a career politician.

It also doesn't help that the "I'm sick of this shit" voter doesn't particularly like to talk to pollsters. So the swing votes in the election flat weren't represented in the polls

(In response to this post by CharlestonSC)

Posted: 01/11/2018 at 10:44PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
The new Q poll is devastating to Trump. -- Shenhoo 01/10/2018 3:02PM
  Kind of like your summer of 2016 polls? -- Hokieesith 01/10/2018 3:21PM
  If it’s so easy to find collusion, where is it? -- Hokieesith 01/10/2018 9:37PM
  ^^^part of the 33 percent. ** -- hooyorkcity 01/10/2018 3:49PM

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