The Soapbox

hoolstoptheheels

Joined: 01/04/2001 Posts: 26971
Likes: 34214


Believe me, I don't. I think the future is always uncertain.


Just that posts get a little long if you keep saying IMO, or likely, etc, and brevity is already not my strong suit. These are my opinions, and TBH, I inserted Jill Stein as a nod to the uncertainty.

I think the odds favor Trump quite a bit if Liz is the nominee, based on what we can see now, which is all we have. Can't plan for the future if you don't try to handicap the odds. Nominating Liz and expecting a materially different outcome than the one in 2016, all things being as they are now - I don't see how rationally considered odds aren't well below 50%.

(In response to this post by SchmHoo)

Posted: 10/16/2019 at 10:58AM



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Current Thread:
 
  
I'm afraid Warren will get the nomination -- GoochlandHoo 10/16/2019 07:13AM
  Oh you should be scared all right. -- southdenverhoo 10/16/2019 7:41PM
  Good point about driving the vote. ** -- GoochlandHoo 10/16/2019 09:00AM
  I'm afraid of that too, but there's still a ways to go in this. -- hoolstoptheheels 10/16/2019 08:23AM
  Unelectable in Indiana ** -- MasterRusty 10/16/2019 7:13PM
  Klobuchar -- DanTheFan 10/16/2019 08:30AM
  Plugs appears to be finished ** -- Tuckahokie 10/16/2019 08:02AM
  He could sell BMWs at The Villages ** -- Tuckahokie 10/16/2019 08:30AM
  Who is Plugs? ** -- 111Balz 10/16/2019 08:03AM
  It's Limbaugh's nickname for Joe. ** -- SchmHoo 10/16/2019 08:50AM
  Hunter's dad ** -- Tuckahokie 10/16/2019 08:05AM
  Good one! -- southdenverhoo 10/16/2019 08:22AM

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