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Joined: 08/31/2001 Posts: 31759
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If it's like 1908, the death percentages will be closer to the number ...


reported out of China. Some health officials are more optimistic. They think the mortality rate for those infected will be closer to 1%. China's reported mortality rate from COVID-19 is 2.5 to 3%. That is a huge difference.

For our sakes, I hope you're wrong ... but we just don't know. Everyone is guessing at this point. Hell, we don't even know if the heat and humidity will kill the virus. MERS does well in 110 degree heat in the Middle East.

It's inevitable that will spread. We lost the opportunity to contain the virus 2 months ago. Our government was too lackadaisical. Let's hope our health responders are ready and have the supplies to to care of the really sick.

As for our economy, it will rebound ... but it looks like we're screwed for a while. There's no way around it. Consumption and production will be down dramatically for a couple of quarters. The velocity of money will be at a crawl after the initial rush to buy supplies as people stay home.

(In response to this post by 81_Hokie)

Posted: 03/14/2020 at 12:23PM



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