The Soapbox

BocaHoo91

Joined: 06/03/2005 Posts: 31131
Likes: 52621


Testing has not plateaued, but cases have grown faster than testing


so there is actual growth in cases... it's not just that we've discovered more.

things will invariably get worse as deaths lag hospitalizations which lag cases, and the latter two are growing. However, I do not think we will see another NYC or northern Italy type thing which exploded as a result of ZERO precautions being taken until mass infection had already taken hold. There are a lot of knuckleheads out there, but a lot of people ARE now taking precautions. Just take a look at the explosion in cases and deaths in NY early in the pandemic:

Weekly Cases and Deaths
........................3/13/20.....3/20/20.....3/27/20.....4/3/20.....4/10/20.....4/17/20
NY Cases.........399...........6,776.......40,483......63,883.....78,131.....69,705
NY Deaths............0................57............505........2,503.......5,471.......5,755

Compare that to the last 6 weeks for Florida
...........................6/6/20.....6/13/20.....6/20/20......6/27/20.......7/4/20.......7/11/20
FL Cases ..........7,334......10,794.......20,245.......38,748.......57,507.......69,399
FL Deaths.............241...........237...........219............246............312............445

Cases have exploded in Florida, but so far deaths have increased but not exploded. I think the primary difference is the while florida is no doubt under counting actual cases by some factor, I think NY was undercounting cases by an absolutely massive factor. So the spike in NY wasn't due to 60-70K weekly cases, it was due to 500K+ (or more) weekly cases. We just weren't able to test back then. Plus NY did a terrible job protecting the long term care facilities. And we've gotten better at treatments.

So yes, it will get worse. Maybe it's just wishful thinking on my part, but I don't see it getting anywhere near as bad as NYC or Lomardi Italy. Hope I'm right for the first time on this.


(In response to this post by Beerman)

Posted: 07/12/2020 at 12:21PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
For those in denial... -- Beerman 07/12/2020 09:52AM
  Liberal politicians. -- ryno hoo 07/12/2020 12:34PM
  We didn’t have enough masks ** -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 12:55PM
  Exactly. ** -- hoodeyo 07/12/2020 12:39PM
  Cuz Amurrikins have a right to their ignorance! ** -- SixerHoo 07/12/2020 12:20PM
  Rush right out to a Covid party near you! ** -- WaxHoo 07/12/2020 1:44PM
  True Amurrikins don’t trust knowledge!** -- SixerHoo 07/12/2020 12:46PM
  No, that’s a classic sunk cost. -- hoolstoptheheels 07/12/2020 11:08AM
  No worry. It's just gonna disappear soon (link) -- Hoo TV 07/12/2020 10:08AM

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