The Soapbox

Shenhoo

Joined: 01/04/2001 Posts: 35230
Likes: 51399


The suburbs really flipped in 2018. They were the story of


the mid-term election.

Suburban women went for Hillary. Suburban white men went for Trump (there was a breaddown between college education and non-college educated, but oveall Trump still won.

In 2018, the suburbs went blue. This is why you saw so many districts flip. The districts that flipped were to the greatest extent districts that touched places like Phoenix, Dallas, Charlotte, and so forth.

It should be noted that when we redistricted in 2010, the districts were drawn (nice word meaning gerrymandered) by Republicans, who put an awful lo of thought and work into the process. The districts were drawn in such a way to permit safe Republican control of Congress even during 50-50 national voting splits. How? By carving out districts radiating from cities so they could win 3 districts by 53-47 while losing one districts by 25-75. It was pretty genius in an evil way.

However, the strategy depended upon a political constant---that white suburban voters would be reliable Republican voters. The scheme worked perfectly as intended until Trump happened to the Republican Party. Suddenly educated suburban voters abandoned the Republican Party and its lack of values other than political power. And, yes, there's been a myriad of polling to suggest that college educated suburban voters, male and female, will be voting, if not for Biden, at least against Trump in 2020.

(In response to this post by Kent Hoo Fan)

Posted: 07/20/2020 at 09:50AM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Biden leading in suburbs -- Kent Hoo Fan 07/20/2020 09:23AM
  Entirely unsurprising -- Beerman 07/20/2020 11:22AM
  No. No, it wouldn't. ** -- VAGentleman05 07/20/2020 10:08AM
  Oh please tell us why not? -- TomKazanski 07/20/2020 10:14AM
  Actually it should be presumed democratic nominee -- Charleston Cav 07/20/2020 09:36AM
  What is Paul Ryan actually doing these days? ** -- jdubforwahoowa 07/20/2020 11:00AM
  Biden his time. -- Hoobedoobedoo 07/20/2020 1:19PM
  Anecdotal! You are dissed and dismissed. -- jdubforwahoowa 07/20/2020 1:32PM
  Trojan Horse. ** -- jdubforwahoowa 07/20/2020 09:39AM
  Looks like the suburbs are gonna abolish Trump ** -- CyberHoo78 07/20/2020 09:58AM
  They will have to do a lot of building REAL quickly. :-) -- jdubforwahoowa 07/20/2020 10:23AM
  I don't live in burbs. Did that as a kid and hated it. -- jdubforwahoowa 07/20/2020 10:36AM
  I know where you are, and they're coming! ** -- WaxHoo 07/20/2020 10:39AM
  Rest my case on you from before. -- jdubforwahoowa 07/20/2020 10:40AM
  Even in the high school halls? How about -- Late 80s Hokie 07/20/2020 09:51AM
  Even in the backs of Cars. -- jdubforwahoowa 07/20/2020 09:53AM

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