The Soapbox

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A new poll had Biden +17 in WI that's really tilting the average there.

538 wrote an article on it that basically says that's an outlier, but it is a poll from a reliable outfit so it is used in their logarithm and that's really affecting the number on WI.

(In response to this post by hoodeyo)

Posted: 10/29/2020 at 10:41AM

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Current Thread:

North Cackalacka -- hooshouse 10/29/2020 09:49AM

26% of the votes cast are from non 2016 voters. What is both -- Shenhoo 10/29/2020 10:22AM

Larry Paul came to Winston-Salem State the other day -- NJHoo 10/29/2020 11:21AM

My vote is surely in that tally, but I moved to NC after 2016. -- CT Wahoo 10/29/2020 10:51AM

Have thought of that too, so much is different. -- hoodeyo 10/29/2020 10:31AM

The biggest tell is the GOP fighting all forms of increased voter turnout -- WahooMatt05 10/29/2020 10:41AM

Every. Single. Election. ** -- FTJ Mackey 10/29/2020 10:45AM

Millennials are up as well. Maybe being home has a benefit after all. ** -- Lazarus 10/29/2020 10:25AM

Wouldn't that be just hilarious and fitting, if that turns out to be a -- vwahoov 10/29/2020 10:31AM

And it all came down to Don's vanity. He worried the mask messed up his -- Lazarus 10/29/2020 10:36AM

Travis County (Austin, TX) already has record high voters in 2020 -- WahooMatt05 10/29/2020 10:16AM

The whole state of Texas may surpass 2016 voting before Nov. 3rd -- Bacon 10/29/2020 10:23AM

Yes HH. A political scientist here said today that he had expected 5M votes -- Lazarus 10/29/2020 09:56AM

PA is not moving the way I'm hoping for thou. At start of the election -- JohnHoo2 10/29/2020 10:04AM

Biden gonna exceed 270 before Penn gets its head out of its ass. ** -- Molina 10/29/2020 10:24AM

PA is close +3 to 5% for Biden, there have been a couple of fake polls to -- Lazarus 10/29/2020 10:20AM

+3 to +5 is too close for comfort. I was expecting PA to be about +8 or -- JohnHoo2 10/29/2020 10:35AM

Hard to know. There's a dearth of updated good PA polling, IMO. -- Shenhoo 10/29/2020 10:08AM

I don't know if this is new but I'm just noticing it- 538 have Nevada and -- hoodeyo 10/29/2020 10:16AM

A new poll had Biden +17 in WI that's really tilting the average there. -- JohnHoo2 10/29/2020 10:41AM

It does, but then it does not affect the poll that much more than when -- Shenhoo 10/29/2020 10:48AM

The latest polling out of Minnesota is definitely closer than -- Shenhoo 10/29/2020 10:20AM

Speaking of, Biden is going to St. Paul Friday. -- hoodeyo 10/29/2020 3:52PM

The Iron Range (Duluth) -- hoodeyo 10/29/2020 11:10AM

All that hope in conservative media. Minnesota will deliver -- Shenhoo 10/29/2020 11:13AM

Oh I don't think he'll win there, but I do find these far flung (to me) -- hoodeyo 10/29/2020 11:27AM

Gotcha. And certainly no problem with that. Geekiness can be fun!! ** -- Shenhoo 10/29/2020 11:28AM

I followed politics but never paid as much attention to polls -- hoodeyo 10/29/2020 11:43AM

Dylanland, as you know. -- Shenhoo 10/29/2020 11:47AM

This just in, FL Joey 51% Don 47%. If FL goes, American can start -- Lazarus 10/29/2020 10:24AM

Still within the MOE. ** -- Hoobedoobedoo 10/29/2020 11:09AM

That's a big if with a very erratic state. ** -- HoosWillWin 10/29/2020 10:36AM

As I mention below. The big wild card is the 7.3 million votes -- Shenhoo 10/29/2020 10:44AM

And a Marist poll at that with over 7 million votes cast. -- Shenhoo 10/29/2020 10:28AM

That's great! But the University of North Cackalacka ... -- HowieT3 10/29/2020 09:55AM

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