The Soapbox

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Deaths lag hospitalizations which lag positive test results which lag test

Positivity rates are going up, hospitalization rates have started the surge. Unfortunately the death rate surge hasn’t started yet

(In response to this post by PacklineD)

Posted: 07/12/2020 at 2:08PM

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Current Thread:

15,300 cases of the virus. -- aint2Hokie4me 07/12/2020 1:14PM

Median age of new cases in Florida is in the low 20s now -- HiltonHeadHoo 07/12/2020 4:55PM

Those 15,300 cases (median age in 20s) = 1.4 deaths -- HiltonHeadHoo 07/12/2020 6:28PM

They are using a number that includes people who don't get tested. -- Shenhoo 07/12/2020 7:42PM

Trust the experts?** -- HiltonHeadHoo 07/12/2020 8:25PM

Can't just admit your argument was wrong is not a good look -- Shenhoo 07/12/2020 8:29PM

You don't believe the answer? Do you think it way wrong?** -- HiltonHeadHoo 07/12/2020 8:30PM

With no idea about the long-term health impact for those infected. -- VAGentleman05 07/12/2020 7:03PM

I somewhat agree... but it's certainly better news than a bunch of 80 year -- BocaHoo91 07/12/2020 7:43PM

The young seem determined to achieve herd immunity before end of August** -- HiltonHeadHoo 07/12/2020 7:10PM

Have humans ever achieved herd immunity to any virus without a vaccine? -- VAGentleman05 07/12/2020 7:14PM

Stay home. It’s that simple. ** -- moohoofus 07/12/2020 1:59PM

143K tested (data dump). Also deaths still declining -- PacklineD 07/12/2020 1:43PM

The cases exist whether you test or not. Deaths are not the only negative -- Plano Hoo 07/12/2020 2:32PM

Correct, but neither are confirmed cases. In fact, they are the least -- BocaHoo91 07/12/2020 3:31PM

Deaths lag hospitalizations which lag positive test results which lag test -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 2:08PM

Yes- we all know this. -- PacklineD 07/12/2020 2:34PM

We’ll see ** -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 2:54PM

DuhSantits has blood on his hands -- SCHOO 07/12/2020 1:42PM

"Where Does Ron DeSantis Go to Get His Apology?" (link) -- Hoo TV 07/12/2020 2:34PM

Do you believe cuomo, Murphy, etc have blood on their hands? -- PacklineD 07/12/2020 1:47PM

Difference is NY and NJ didnt have the benefit of experience... -- SCHOO 07/12/2020 1:53PM

He ordered positive cases out of nursing homes on March 15th -- PacklineD 07/12/2020 1:57PM

That's different. ** -- ResistHoo 07/12/2020 3:14PM

Im not defending Cuomo and those folks... -- SCHOO 07/12/2020 2:05PM

How do you know he is "wrong"? Do you think this virus just goes away -- PacklineD 07/12/2020 2:41PM

LOL! Hoo's science? ** -- WaxHoo 07/12/2020 1:49PM

The history of biology? ** -- PacklineD 07/12/2020 1:50PM

DiSantis: "We aren't New York." Right. You're worse! ** -- WaxHoo 07/12/2020 1:33PM

Why does Cali seem to get a pass? ** -- Tuckahokie 07/12/2020 1:47PM

My mother-in-law in Phoenix blames California all the time; for the traffic -- Seattle .Hoo 07/12/2020 1:57PM

From a CONFIRMED cases only standpoint. See my post below to -- BocaHoo91 07/12/2020 1:40PM

Hey, look, cut us a break - HuffPo & MSNBC didn't break it down like that!! ** -- ResistHoo 07/12/2020 3:16PM

Deaths lag hospitalization which lags positive test result which lags test ** -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 2:11PM

Correct. But how long? 4 weeks after NY saw cases spike they were at -- BocaHoo91 07/12/2020 4:27PM

Florida cases spiked on June 26 to about 8000 and then have been rising -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 5:03PM

Right, but "only" 5000 is 10x what cases were in mid may. And yet deaths -- BocaHoo91 07/12/2020 5:15PM

What I hear the medical experts say is that with New York people only -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 4:45PM

But we're now SIX weeks out from cases starting to spike in Florida and -- BocaHoo91 07/12/2020 4:54PM

Science and statistics aren’t widely accepted here BOCA -- PacklineD 07/12/2020 1:49PM

Actually quite a few posters provide science and statistics here every day -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 2:13PM

Seems 15k new cases/day is a statistic ... ** -- WaxHoo 07/12/2020 2:08PM

It’s OK it’s Florida and it’s summer. Everything will be fine ** -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 2:18PM

Where's FL's death count gonna be in a couple weeks after 15k daily cases? ** -- WaxHoo 07/12/2020 1:49PM

Look at the two trends and tell me. NY and FL spiked similarly in -- BocaHoo91 07/12/2020 1:55PM

Ok. To what do attribute that. Brilliant public health management? ** -- WaxHoo 07/12/2020 1:57PM

Totally non comparable situations -- BocaHoo91 07/12/2020 2:31PM

Probably about 100-120 a day maybe ** -- PacklineD 07/12/2020 1:51PM

Hopefully no more than that. Too bad the number of cases -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 2:21PM

Florida, right? NY state topped at 11,300ish to round off. -- Shenhoo 07/12/2020 1:16PM

Interesting tidbit. Three months ago the state of NY was at about -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 1:21PM

Unfortunately? ** -- Hoogle.com 07/12/2020 1:32PM

Yeah I’m afraid the denominator is getting ready to go way up ** -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 2:06PM

I think he's saying the growth in deaths in other places will drive -- BocaHoo91 07/12/2020 1:34PM

Yes exactly ** -- 111Balz 07/12/2020 2:11PM

Response like a "shithole country" unfortunately. ** -- Seattle .Hoo 07/12/2020 1:19PM

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