The Soapbox

Fuzzy Dunlop

Joined: 06/21/2015 Posts: 5135
Likes: 6216


Biden is leading more Texas polls than he's trailing


This may be a case where we refuse to believe what's in front of us. It's been blue-ing demographically for years, and the pace of that has accelerated over the last four years. It's home to a ton of those suburban voters that Trump drove out of the Republican party and replaced with upper Midwest rural voters.

Analysts have been saying forever that Democrats have large pools of potential voters in Texas if they could ever get turnout up, and turnout looks on pace to absolutely smash recent years, particularly in the never-delivered youth vote. If you stripped away all context and asked me to analyze the situation based on numbers, I'd say Biden is probably winning Texas. But actually seeing a blue Texas on election night seems unthinkable.

(In response to this post by Shenhoo)

Posted: 10/27/2020 at 12:13PM



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Current Thread:
 
  
Bloomberg is going into Texas and Ohio with an ad blitz -- wahoo138 10/27/2020 08:10AM
  You're assuming they are without any evidence. -- Faz d. Hoo 10/27/2020 1:02PM
  Don't bet against Bloomberg. There is -- Shenhoo 10/27/2020 08:54AM
  Haha, I was going to say the opposite -- Faz d. Hoo 10/27/2020 09:14AM
  Sometimes nice guys do finish first ** -- Tuckahokie 10/27/2020 09:31AM
  Should have been hearing more, IMHO. May be too little too late -- Capital City Hoo 10/27/2020 09:00AM
  Both Economist and 538 put Ohio at 58% odds for Trump. -- hoolstoptheheels 10/27/2020 08:54AM
  I don’t trust Ohio or Florida ** -- hooshouse 10/27/2020 09:05AM
  Because there is no rational explanation for that feeling -- Capital City Hoo 10/27/2020 09:02AM
  History. ** -- Hoobedoobedoo 10/27/2020 09:01AM
  High voter turnout. But it will be close. ** -- WahooRQ 10/27/2020 09:00AM
  I don’t know a ton about OH this year. -- WahooMatt05 10/27/2020 08:52AM
  Razor thin margin ** -- wahoo138 10/27/2020 08:44AM
  Biden +3 in a new poll this am fwiw ** -- WaxHoo 10/27/2020 08:38AM
  Indicates a very competitive state -- wahoo138 10/27/2020 08:27AM
  Cell or land line? ** -- Shenhoo 10/27/2020 08:16AM
  Land line.. I never pick them up ** -- Plano Hoo 10/27/2020 08:17AM
  HIDDEN BIDEN VOTE! ** -- wahoo138 10/27/2020 08:28AM
  Old technology, probably trump. ** -- 81_Hokie 10/27/2020 08:36AM

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