The Soapbox

Joined: 06/03/2005 Posts: 31020
Likes: 52377

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So first of all, best of luck to you and your family. But I think you're

using the 99% as a binary cutoff. Here are the deaths by age from covid vs. the 2018-2019 flu season which was about perfectly average with 34K overall deaths. The age brackets don't line up perfectly but they're close enough

…........................Covid......Flu........Covid/flu
0-24 / 0-18….......620........477........1.30x
24-44 / 18-49.....7938.......2450.......3.24x
45-64 / 50-64….54388......5676.......9.58x
65+....................266647....25555.....10.43x
All......................329593...34158.......9.65x

The 20ish to 45-50 age group is 3.2x more deadly for covid than flu. The next two age groups are 10x more deadly. You'll also note the total deaths only add to 329K as there is a lag with CDC reporting. All of those #'s will likely be double by the time we hit the 1 year mark was there's almost no way we don't hit 600K deaths. With a death rate for young people that is 6x that of the flu and 20x as deadly as the flu for age 50+, I don't know how you could really think it's just like the flu for most people who get it. There are a lot of people getting really sick that aren't dying.

99.99% of people who fly on a plane don't die in a plane crash. If suddenly planes started dropping out of the sky at 20x the rate as normal, it would still be 99.8% of people who get on a plane and don't tie, but I don't think anyone would feel good about 20x the number of plane crashes and say "for most people it's just like flying was before"

(In response to this post by Hoodafan)

Posted: 01/15/2021 at 5:00PM

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Inauguration around the corner, time to shift the narrative. -- Hoodafan 01/15/2021 11:52AM

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And so it begjns ** -- TomKazanski 01/15/2021 12:43PM

What is 'it"? ** -- Plano Hoo 01/15/2021 12:52PM

He probably lost control of his bowels again ** -- 111Balz 01/15/2021 12:55PM

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Sometimes lockdowns are caused by failure to voluntarily comply ** -- 111Balz 01/15/2021 12:33PM

You realize that study proves that wearing masks is really important too? ** -- HoodatB 01/15/2021 12:21PM

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He did not miss the point. You posted something you did not understand ** -- 111Balz 01/15/2021 1:16PM

You defended the anti-maskers several times! ** -- HoodatB 01/15/2021 12:46PM

I did? Link? I wear a mask, so not sure why I would do that. ** -- Hoodafan 01/15/2021 12:52PM

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Right the average is around 30 million cases for the flu each year. -- BocaHoo91 01/15/2021 4:09PM

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So first of all, best of luck to you and your family. But I think you're -- BocaHoo91 01/15/2021 5:00PM

But no sympathy for Hooda from Waxie! Thanks, but like 99% of folks like me -- Hoodafan 01/15/2021 5:23PM

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We'll await your return for DeSantis '24. :-) Mostly agree with that, even -- Hoodafan 01/15/2021 5:40PM

Voluntary works if everyone does it ** -- 111Balz 01/15/2021 12:19PM

Right and leadership is how you get people to voluntarily do stuff. -- BocaHoo91 01/15/2021 12:21PM

Exactly ** -- 111Balz 01/15/2021 12:26PM

I am guessing you really don’t understand what the study actually says ** -- 111Balz 01/15/2021 12:12PM

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Fake nooz! ** -- TomGlansAski 01/15/2021 12:23PM

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The White House? ** -- Hoodafan 01/15/2021 12:05PM